PREGAME PROJECTIONS
San Francisco 49ersat
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers—
Seattle Seahawks—Refreshes every 30 seconds. Scores and stats may lag the action.
Provisional probability overlay · generated Thu, Oct 8, 11:18 PM ET
Traditional props in the 14 unplayed games use full-precision frozen player means, Gamma distributions for yardage (passing shape 16; rushing and receiving shape 4), negative-binomial receptions (shape 7), and Poisson passing TDs. This is a new parametric estimate, not a calibrated production rerun. The method reproduces all 42 archived Las Vegas probability examples.
New prices were captured Thu, Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET. Original prices keep priority. The probabilities use the actual recorded line and odds for each row; archive comparisons are retained. Edge is P(win | no push) minus the quoted implied probability, in percentage points. P* hit is the unconditional win probability.
Washington and Baltimore offensive estimates remain starter scenarios and are excluded from weekly rankings. Unsupported backup QB workloads are also excluded. Tampa–Dallas retains its archived layer because it had started; ATD projections and rankings are unchanged.
Game environment
Frozen pregame inputsPlayer Props
Frozen projections · archived sportsbook markets| Rank / player | Position | Market / side | Line | GameDay Projection | Edge* | Book / American odds | Live / final | Track | Status / evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Pass TDsOVER · archived quote | 1.5 | 1.3 | -13.5ppProvisional P* hit 38.4%Archived proxyP 39.0% · edge -13.0pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -108 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
2Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Pass TDsUNDER · archived quote | 1.5 | 1.3 | +6.6ppProvisional P* hit 61.6%Archived proxyP 61.0% · edge +6.1pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -122 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
3Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Pass yardsOVER · archived quote | 222.5 | 221.6Quote projection 220.3 · DIFF | -7.3ppProvisional P* hit 46.0% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
4Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Pass yardsUNDER · archived quote | 222.5 | 221.6Quote projection 220.3 · DIFF | +0.7ppProvisional P* hit 54.0% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
5Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Rush yardsOVER · archived quote | 19.5 | 23.6 | +4.6ppProvisional P* hit 57.9%Archived proxyP 56.0% · edge +3.1pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
6Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Rush yardsUNDER · archived quote | 19.5 | 23.6 | -11.2ppProvisional P* hit 42.1%Archived proxyP 44.0% · edge -9.7pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
7Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsOVER · archived quote | 53.5 | 50Quote projection 47.8 · DIFF | -15.2ppProvisional P* hit 38.1% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
8Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsUNDER · archived quote | 53.5 | 50Quote projection 47.8 · DIFF | +8.6ppProvisional P* hit 61.9% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
9Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsOVER · archived quote | 35.5 | 28.3Quote projection 28.1 · DIFF | -27.1ppProvisional P* hit 26.1% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
10Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsUNDER · archived quote | 35.5 | 28.3Quote projection 28.1 · DIFF | +20.6ppProvisional P* hit 73.9% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
11Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsOVER · archived quote | 4.5 | 3.1 | -32.8ppProvisional P* hit 22.7%Archived proxyP 24.0% · edge -31.4pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -125 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
12Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsUNDER · archived quote | 4.5 | 3.1 | +25.8ppProvisional P* hit 77.3%Archived proxyP 76.0% · edge +24.4pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -106 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
13Kaelon BlackSF · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsOVER · archived quote | 14.5 | 26.6Quote projection 25.5 · DIFF | +29.0ppProvisional P* hit 82.3% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
14Kaelon BlackSF · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsUNDER · archived quote | 14.5 | 26.6Quote projection 25.5 · DIFF | -35.5ppProvisional P* hit 17.7% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
15Mike EvansSF · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · archived quote | 48.5 | 39.2Quote projection 38.8 · DIFF | -26.1ppProvisional P* hit 27.2% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
16Mike EvansSF · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · archived quote | 48.5 | 39.2Quote projection 38.8 · DIFF | +19.6ppProvisional P* hit 72.8% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
17Mike EvansSF · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · archived quote | 3.5 | 3.5 | -20.0ppProvisional P* hit 44.3%Archived proxyP 42.0% · edge -22.6pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -180 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
18Mike EvansSF · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · archived quote | 3.5 | 3.5 | +13.0ppProvisional P* hit 55.7%Archived proxyP 58.0% · edge +15.6pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel +134 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
19Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | Rec yardsOVER · archived quote | 31.5 | UnavailableQuote projection 23.2 · UNMATCHED | Unavailable | FanDuel -114 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings |
20Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | Rec yardsUNDER · archived quote | 31.5 | UnavailableQuote projection 23.2 · UNMATCHED | Unavailable | FanDuel -114 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings |
21Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | ReceptionsOVER · archived quote | 3.5 | UnavailableQuote projection 2.6 · UNMATCHED | Unavailable | FanDuel -102 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings |
22Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | ReceptionsUNDER · archived quote | 3.5 | UnavailableQuote projection 2.6 · UNMATCHED | Unavailable | FanDuel -130 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings |
23George KittleSF · SF at SEA | TE | Rec yardsOVER · archived quote | 52.5 | 40Quote projection 39.4 · DIFF | -30.2ppProvisional P* hit 23.1% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
24George KittleSF · SF at SEA | TE | Rec yardsUNDER · archived quote | 52.5 | 40Quote projection 39.4 · DIFF | +23.6ppProvisional P* hit 76.9% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
25George KittleSF · SF at SEA | TE | ReceptionsOVER · archived quote | 4.5 | 3.3 | -29.1ppProvisional P* hit 25.0%Archived proxyP 26.0% · edge -28.3pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -118 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
26George KittleSF · SF at SEA | TE | ReceptionsUNDER · archived quote | 4.5 | 3.3 | +22.2ppProvisional P* hit 75.0%Archived proxyP 74.0% · edge +21.4pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -112 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
27Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Pass TDsOVER · archived quote | 1.5 | 1.3 | -17.5ppProvisional P* hit 35.7%Archived proxyP 35.0% · edge -18.4pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
28Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Pass TDsUNDER · archived quote | 1.5 | 1.3 | +11.0ppProvisional P* hit 64.3%Archived proxyP 65.0% · edge +11.8pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
29Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Pass yardsOVER · archived quote | 227.5 | 242.9Quote projection 242.4 · DIFF | +3.7ppProvisional P* hit 57.0% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
30Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Pass yardsUNDER · archived quote | 227.5 | 242.9Quote projection 242.4 · DIFF | -10.2ppProvisional P* hit 43.0% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
31Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Rush yardsOVER · archived quote | 4.5 | 3.8Quote projection 3.6 · DIFF | -24.1ppProvisional P* hit 30.5% | FanDuel -120 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
32Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Rush yardsUNDER · archived quote | 4.5 | 3.8Quote projection 3.6 · DIFF | +17.6ppProvisional P* hit 69.5% | FanDuel -108 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
33Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · archived quote | 94.5 | 97.2Quote projection 97.7 · DIFF | -7.7ppProvisional P* hit 45.6% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
34Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · archived quote | 94.5 | 97.2Quote projection 97.7 · DIFF | +1.2ppProvisional P* hit 54.4% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
35Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · archived quote | 6.5 | 7.7 | +0.1ppProvisional P* hit 56.6%Archived proxyP 52.0% · edge -4.9pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -130 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
36Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · archived quote | 6.5 | 7.7 | -7.1ppProvisional P* hit 43.4%Archived proxyP 48.0% · edge -2.1pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -102 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
37Rashid ShaheedSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · archived quote | 20.5 | 25.2Quote projection 24.8 · DIFF | +5.9ppProvisional P* hit 59.2% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
38Rashid ShaheedSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · archived quote | 20.5 | 25.2Quote projection 24.8 · DIFF | -12.4ppProvisional P* hit 40.8% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statModel mismatch · excluded from rankings | |
39Rashid ShaheedSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · archived quote | 1.5 | 2.2 | -2.1ppProvisional P* hit 61.2%Archived proxyP 57.0% · edge -6.3pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -172 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
40Rashid ShaheedSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · archived quote | 1.5 | 2.2 | -5.0ppProvisional P* hit 38.8%Archived proxyP 43.0% · edge -0.8pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel +128 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
41Cooper KuppSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · archived quote | 25.5 | 24 | -14.6ppProvisional P* hit 38.7%Archived proxyP 38.0% · edge -15.5pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
42Cooper KuppSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · archived quote | 25.5 | 24 | +8.1ppProvisional P* hit 61.3%Archived proxyP 62.0% · edge +9.0pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
43Cooper KuppSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · archived quote | 2.5 | 2.2 | -16.1ppProvisional P* hit 35.8%Archived proxyP 35.0% · edge -16.7pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -108 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
44Cooper KuppSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · archived quote | 2.5 | 2.2 | +9.2ppProvisional P* hit 64.2%Archived proxyP 65.0% · edge +9.8pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -122 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
45AJ BarnerSEA · SF at SEA | TE | Rec yardsOVER · archived quote | 24.5 | 27.4 | -1.2ppProvisional P* hit 52.1%Archived proxyP 48.0% · edge -4.9pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
46AJ BarnerSEA · SF at SEA | TE | Rec yardsUNDER · archived quote | 24.5 | 27.4 | -5.4ppProvisional P* hit 47.9%Archived proxyP 52.0% · edge -1.7pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
47AJ BarnerSEA · SF at SEA | TE | ReceptionsOVER · archived quote | 2.5 | 2.5 | -14.0ppProvisional P* hit 42.9%Archived proxyP 41.0% · edge -15.6pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel -132 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
48AJ BarnerSEA · SF at SEA | TE | ReceptionsUNDER · archived quote | 2.5 | 2.5 | +7.1ppProvisional P* hit 57.1%Archived proxyP 59.0% · edge +8.7pp · MATCH · historical comparison only | FanDuel +100 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
—Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Pass yardsOVER · market side | 225.5 | 242.92 | +5.7ppProvisional P* hit 58.3% | DraftKings -111 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Pass yardsUNDER · market side | 225.5 | 242.92 | -11.4ppProvisional P* hit 41.7% | DraftKings -113 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Pass yardsOVER · market side | 226.5 | 221.55 | -9.7ppProvisional P* hit 43.2% | DraftKings -112 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Pass yardsUNDER · market side | 226.5 | 221.55 | +4.0ppProvisional P* hit 56.8% | DraftKings -112 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Pass TDsOVER · market side | 1.5 | 1.26 | -14.8ppProvisional P* hit 35.7% | DraftKings -102 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Pass TDsUNDER · market side | 1.5 | 1.26 | +8.7ppProvisional P* hit 64.3% | DraftKings -125 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Pass TDsOVER · market side | 1.5 | 1.33 | -9.0ppProvisional P* hit 38.4% | DraftKings +111 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Pass TDsUNDER · market side | 1.5 | 1.33 | +3.1ppProvisional P* hit 61.6% | DraftKings -141 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 60.5 | 45.75 | -30.2ppProvisional P* hit 22.7% | DraftKings -112 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 60.5 | 45.75 | +24.5ppProvisional P* hit 77.3% | DraftKings -112 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 62.5 | 45.75 | -32.7ppProvisional P* hit 20.6% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 62.5 | 45.75 | +26.2ppProvisional P* hit 79.4% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 53.5 | 50.01 | -15.2ppProvisional P* hit 38.1% | DraftKings -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 53.5 | 50.01 | +9.5ppProvisional P* hit 61.9% | DraftKings -110 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 19.5 | 23.59 | +5.3ppProvisional P* hit 57.9% | DraftKings -111 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Brock PurdySF · SF at SEA | QB | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 19.5 | 23.59 | -10.9ppProvisional P* hit 42.1% | DraftKings -113 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 19.5 | 18.16 | -15.3ppProvisional P* hit 37.8% | DraftKings -113 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 19.5 | 18.16 | +9.6ppProvisional P* hit 62.2% | DraftKings -111 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 19.5 | 18.16 | -15.5ppProvisional P* hit 37.8% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 19.5 | 18.16 | +8.9ppProvisional P* hit 62.2% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Kaelon BlackSF · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 15.5 | 26.57 | +26.4ppProvisional P* hit 79.3% | DraftKings -112 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Kaelon BlackSF · SF at SEA | RB | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 15.5 | 26.57 | -32.1ppProvisional P* hit 20.7% | DraftKings -112 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 8.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | DraftKings -114 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 8.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | DraftKings -110 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 8.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | FanDuel -114 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 8.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | FanDuel -114 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 4.5 | 3.8 | -23.9ppProvisional P* hit 30.5% | DraftKings -119 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Sam DarnoldSEA · SF at SEA | QB | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 4.5 | 3.8 | +18.3ppProvisional P* hit 69.5% | DraftKings -105 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 90.5 | 97.21 | -4.1ppProvisional P* hit 48.9% | DraftKings -113 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 90.5 | 97.21 | -1.5ppProvisional P* hit 51.1% | DraftKings -111 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George KittleSF · SF at SEA | TE | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 51.5 | 39.97 | -28.9ppProvisional P* hit 24.4% | DraftKings -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George KittleSF · SF at SEA | TE | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 51.5 | 39.97 | +23.2ppProvisional P* hit 75.6% | DraftKings -110 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Mike EvansSF · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 48.5 | 39.17 | -25.2ppProvisional P* hit 27.2% | DraftKings -110 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Mike EvansSF · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 48.5 | 39.17 | +19.6ppProvisional P* hit 72.8% | DraftKings -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 36.5 | 28.26 | -28.4ppProvisional P* hit 24.2% | DraftKings -111 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 36.5 | 28.26 | +22.7ppProvisional P* hit 75.8% | DraftKings -113 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 33.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | DraftKings -115 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 33.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | DraftKings -109 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—Cooper KuppSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 24.5 | 24.01 | -11.7ppProvisional P* hit 41.8% | DraftKings -115 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Cooper KuppSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 24.5 | 24.01 | +6.1ppProvisional P* hit 58.2% | DraftKings -109 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—AJ BarnerSEA · SF at SEA | TE | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 23.5 | 27.43 | +2.9ppProvisional P* hit 55.2% | DraftKings -110 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—AJ BarnerSEA · SF at SEA | TE | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 23.5 | 27.43 | -8.5ppProvisional P* hit 44.8% | DraftKings -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Rashid ShaheedSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 20.5 | 25.24 | +5.5ppProvisional P* hit 59.2% | DraftKings -116 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Rashid ShaheedSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 20.5 | 25.24 | -11.1ppProvisional P* hit 40.8% | DraftKings -108 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Tory HortonSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 9.5 | 14.55 | +21.6ppProvisional P* hit 73.3% | DraftKings -107 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Tory HortonSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 9.5 | 14.55 | -27.5ppProvisional P* hit 26.7% | DraftKings -118 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Tory HortonSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 11.5 | 14.55 | +7.8ppProvisional P* hit 61.1% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Tory HortonSEA · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 11.5 | 14.55 | -14.4ppProvisional P* hit 38.9% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 8.5 | 14.32 | +24.7ppProvisional P* hit 78.4% | DraftKings -116 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 8.5 | 14.32 | -30.3ppProvisional P* hit 21.6% | DraftKings -108 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 8.5 | 14.32 | +25.2ppProvisional P* hit 78.4% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 8.5 | 14.32 | -31.7ppProvisional P* hit 21.6% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 8.5 | 14.33 | +25.2ppProvisional P* hit 78.4% | DraftKings -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 8.5 | 14.33 | -30.8ppProvisional P* hit 21.6% | DraftKings -110 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 9.5 | 14.33 | +19.2ppProvisional P* hit 72.5% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 9.5 | 14.33 | -25.7ppProvisional P* hit 27.5% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 6.5 | 7.67 | +3.8ppProvisional P* hit 56.6% | DraftKings -112 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 6.5 | 7.67 | -9.9ppProvisional P* hit 43.4% | DraftKings -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 4.5 | 3.11 | -33.4ppProvisional P* hit 22.7% | DraftKings -128 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Christian McCaffreySF · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 4.5 | 3.11 | +27.5ppProvisional P* hit 77.3% | DraftKings +101 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George KittleSF · SF at SEA | TE | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 4.5 | 3.25 | -28.3ppProvisional P* hit 25.0% | DraftKings -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George KittleSF · SF at SEA | TE | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 4.5 | 3.25 | +22.2ppProvisional P* hit 75.0% | DraftKings -112 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Mike EvansSF · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 3.5 | 3.51 | -16.6ppProvisional P* hit 44.3% | DraftKings -156 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Mike EvansSF · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 3.5 | 3.51 | +10.6ppProvisional P* hit 55.7% | DraftKings +122 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 3.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | DraftKings -105 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—Deebo SamuelSF · SF at SEA | Unavailable | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 3.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | DraftKings -121 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—AJ BarnerSEA · SF at SEA | TE | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 2.5 | 2.47 | -10.1ppProvisional P* hit 42.9% | DraftKings -113 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—AJ BarnerSEA · SF at SEA | TE | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 2.5 | 2.47 | +4.0ppProvisional P* hit 57.1% | DraftKings -113 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Cooper KuppSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 2.5 | 2.15 | -12.5ppProvisional P* hit 35.8% | DraftKings +107 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Cooper KuppSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 2.5 | 2.15 | +6.6ppProvisional P* hit 64.2% | DraftKings -136 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Rashid ShaheedSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 1.5 | 2.23 | -1.7ppProvisional P* hit 61.2% | DraftKings -169 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Rashid ShaheedSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 1.5 | 2.23 | -4.3ppProvisional P* hit 38.8% | DraftKings +132 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 1.5 | 1.45 | -18.7ppProvisional P* hit 41.1% | DraftKings -149 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 1.5 | 1.45 | +12.8ppProvisional P* hit 58.9% | DraftKings +117 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 1.5 | 1.45 | -20.7ppProvisional P* hit 41.1% | FanDuel -162 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—George HolaniSEA · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 1.5 | 1.45 | +13.8ppProvisional P* hit 58.9% | FanDuel +122 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 1.5 | 1.25 | -24.6ppProvisional P* hit 34.9% | DraftKings -147 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 1.5 | 1.25 | +18.6ppProvisional P* hit 65.1% | DraftKings +115 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 1.5 | 1.25 | -27.5ppProvisional P* hit 34.9% | FanDuel -166 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Emanuel WilsonSEA · SF at SEA | RB | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 1.5 | 1.25 | +20.4ppProvisional P* hit 65.1% | FanDuel +124 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Tory HortonSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 1.5 | 1.3 | -0.8ppProvisional P* hit 36.2% | DraftKings +170 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Tory HortonSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 1.5 | 1.3 | -4.9ppProvisional P* hit 63.8% | DraftKings -219 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Tory HortonSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 1.5 | 1.3 | -5.4ppProvisional P* hit 36.2% | FanDuel +140 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Tory HortonSEA · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 1.5 | 1.3 | -1.5ppProvisional P* hit 63.8% | FanDuel -188 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 8.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | DraftKings -114 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 8.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | DraftKings -110 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | Rush yardsOVER · market side | 8.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | FanDuel -114 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | Rush yardsUNDER · market side | 8.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | FanDuel -114 | — | Unavailable | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Market side only · probability unavailable |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 33.5 | 23.31 | -36.0ppProvisional P* hit 17.5% | DraftKings -115 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 33.5 | 23.31 | +30.3ppProvisional P* hit 82.5% | DraftKings -109 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsOVER · market side | 34.5 | 23.31 | -37.4ppProvisional P* hit 15.9% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | Rec yardsUNDER · market side | 34.5 | 23.31 | +30.9ppProvisional P* hit 84.1% | FanDuel -114 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 3.5 | 2.63 | -23.1ppProvisional P* hit 28.1% | DraftKings -105 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 3.5 | 2.63 | +17.2ppProvisional P* hit 71.9% | DraftKings -121 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsOVER · market side | 3.5 | 2.63 | -28.4ppProvisional P* hit 28.1% | FanDuel -130 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
—Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · SF at SEA | WR | ReceptionsUNDER · market side | 3.5 | 2.63 | +21.4ppProvisional P* hit 71.9% | FanDuel -102 | — | Awaiting statAdded snapshot · Oct 8, 12:38 PM ET · Edge Labs Captured price · separately estimated probability | |
| Brandin CooksSF | WR | Rec yards | Unavailable | 6.6 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Brandin CooksSF | WR | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.49 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Demarcus RobinsonSF | WR | Rec yards | Unavailable | 21.43 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Demarcus RobinsonSF | WR | Receptions | Unavailable | 1.83 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| KhaDarel HodgeSF | WR | Rec yards | Unavailable | 9.15 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| KhaDarel HodgeSF | WR | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.76 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Luke FarrellSF | TE | Rec yards | Unavailable | 8.58 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Luke FarrellSF | TE | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.71 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Jacob CowingSF | WR | Rec yards | Unavailable | 8.63 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Jacob CowingSF | WR | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.68 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Jordan WatkinsSF | WR | Rec yards | Unavailable | 15.6 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Jordan WatkinsSF | WR | Receptions | Unavailable | 1.25 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Jordan JamesSF | RB | Rush yards | Unavailable | 17.08 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Jordan JamesSF | RB | Rec yards | Unavailable | 2.41 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Kaelon BlackSF | RB | Rec yards | Unavailable | 4.25 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyEstablished |
| Kaelon BlackSF | RB | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.24 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyEstablished |
| Eric SaubertSEA | TE | Rec yards | Unavailable | 9.06 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Eric SaubertSEA | TE | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.83 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Brady RussellSEA | RB | Rush yards | Unavailable | 1.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Brady RussellSEA | RB | Rec yards | Unavailable | 10.56 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Brady RussellSEA | RB | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.9 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Elijah ArroyoSEA | TE | Rec yards | Unavailable | 9.41 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Elijah ArroyoSEA | TE | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.78 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyProvisional |
| Jadarian PriceSEA | RB | Rush yards | Unavailable | 34.39 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyEstablished |
| Jadarian PriceSEA | RB | Rec yards | Unavailable | 13.97 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyEstablished |
| Jadarian PriceSEA | RB | Receptions | Unavailable | 1.37 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyEstablished |
* P and edge are uncalibrated estimates. The new overlay uses the frozen player means and documented distribution assumptions; edge is the probability difference from the captured American odds, in percentage points. Starter scenarios remain excluded from weekly rankings. Started games retain archived probabilities. Historical proxy values remain available for comparison. Unavailable fields have no supporting frozen source. Black tick = line; ice-blue diamond = GameDay Projection; gold dot = actual.
Data coverage · 26 projection entries without quotes · 2 ATD players without odds
Coverage is based on captured DraftKings and FanDuel snapshots. An uncaptured market does not establish that a sportsbook offers it. Missing quotes remain unavailable.
24 archived prop rows have conflicting or unmatched quote projections. GameDay Projection uses the approved baseline where available; archived values remain visible for comparison and their original proxy edges are excluded from weekly rankings. A separate overlay may evaluate the same captured quote against the verified frozen mean.
40 eligible positive-edge prop signals. The weekly board defaults to Top 100, with an All positive edges option. Washington and Baltimore offensive starter scenarios remain excluded.
Frozen data and source game sheet
Open San Francisco 49ers - Seattle Seahawks Week 5 Game Sheet.pdf
Frozen early-signal player baseline; production v2R ATD. October 7, 2026 · archived third-party quotes.
Linked report fingerprint: Verified.
Most matchups use the archived early-signal player baseline; Tampa–Dallas preserves its later approved sheet. ATD probabilities use the locked v2R production board. Additional DK/FD prices come from the archived October 7 full market overlay; existing prices take priority and the prediction baseline remains unchanged. Previously missing market sides and ATD book prices are supplemented from the Edge Labs October 8, 2026, 12:38 PM ET capture, a third-party published snapshot rather than a live sportsbook feed. Traditional prop probabilities and edges for unplayed games now come from a separate timestamped provisional overlay using the verified frozen means and documented distribution assumptions. Original quote probabilities and edges remain available as archive comparisons. Starter scenarios are excluded from weekly rankings. Quote-model mismatches remain labeled; their original proxy edges are not used in weekly rankings.
