PREGAME PROJECTIONS
Tampa Bayat
Dallas
Tampa Bay—Dallas—Refreshes every 30 seconds. Scores and stats may lag the action.
Game environment
Frozen pregame inputsPlayer Props
Frozen projections · archived sportsbook markets
Player Props| Rank / player | Position | Market / side | Line | GameDay Projection | Edge* | Book / American odds | Live / final | Track | Status / evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1Jalon DanielsTB · TB at DAL | QB | Rush yardsUNDER | 44.5 | 18.6 | +45.8ppArchived P* hit 99.0% | DraftKings -112 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
2Tyler GoodsonDAL · TB at DAL | RB | Rush yardsUNDER | 16.5 | 10.8 | +32.5ppArchived P* hit 86.0% | DraftKings -115 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
3CeeDee LambDAL · TB at DAL | WR | ReceptionsOVER | 6.5 | 10.6 | +29.1ppArchived P* hit 77.0% | DraftKings +107 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
4Kenny GainwellTB · TB at DAL | RB | Rec yardsOVER | 10.5 | 19 | +27.9ppArchived P* hit 80.0% | DraftKings -107 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
5Cade OttonTB · TB at DAL | TE | Rec yardsOVER | 27.5 | 49.4 | +26.8ppArchived P* hit 79.0% | DraftKings -110 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
6Dak PrescottDAL · TB at DAL | QB | Rush yardsOVER | 9.5 | 15.9 | +24.3ppArchived P* hit 78.0% | DraftKings -116 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
7CeeDee LambDAL · TB at DAL | WR | Rec yardsOVER | 79.5 | 136.1 | +23.9ppArchived P* hit 77.0% | DraftKings -113 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
8Bucky IrvingTB · TB at DAL | RB | Rec yardsOVER | 12.5 | 21.1 | +23.7ppArchived P* hit 76.0% | DraftKings -111 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
9Ted Hurst IIITB · TB at DAL | WR | Rec yardsOVER | 20.5 | 34.8 | +22.9ppArchived P* hit 77.0% | DraftKings -116 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
10Javonte WilliamsDAL · TB at DAL | RB | Rec yardsOVER | 15.5 | 26 | +22.7ppArchived P* hit 76.0% | DraftKings -114 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
11Chris Godwin Jr.TB · TB at DAL | WR | Rec yardsOVER | 28.5 | 46.9 | +21.7ppArchived P* hit 75.0% | DraftKings -114 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
12Emeka EgbukaTB · TB at DAL | WR | ReceptionsOVER | 3.5 | 4.6 | +18.9ppArchived P* hit 61.0% | DraftKings +136 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
13Bucky IrvingTB · TB at DAL | RB | Rush yardsOVER | 51.5 | 77.4 | +18.8ppArchived P* hit 72.0% | DraftKings -115 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
14Jalon DanielsTB · TB at DAL | QB | Pass yardsOVER | 181.5 | 213.7 | +17.2ppArchived P* hit 70.0% | DraftKings -111 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
15Tez JohnsonTB · TB at DAL | WR | Rec yardsOVER | 13.5 | 19.7 | +16.3ppArchived P* hit 68.0% | DraftKings -109 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
16Chris Godwin Jr.TB · TB at DAL | WR | ReceptionsOVER | 3.5 | 5 | +14.9ppArchived P* hit 66.0% | DraftKings -106 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
17Cade OttonTB · TB at DAL | TE | ReceptionsOVER | 3.5 | 4.8 | +14.5ppArchived P* hit 63.0% | DraftKings +105 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
18Emeka EgbukaTB · TB at DAL | WR | Rec yardsOVER | 34.5 | 47.2 | +12.2ppArchived P* hit 65.0% | DraftKings -110 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
19Bucky IrvingTB · TB at DAL | RB | ReceptionsOVER | 2.5 | 3.2 | +11.8ppArchived P* hit 57.0% | DraftKings +123 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
20Jake FergusonDAL · TB at DAL | TE | Rec yardsUNDER | 28.5 | 25.6 | +11.3ppArchived P* hit 65.0% | DraftKings -116 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
21George PickensDAL · TB at DAL | WR | Rec yardsUNDER | 61.5 | 55.8 | +10.9ppArchived P* hit 64.0% | DraftKings -114 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
22Javonte WilliamsDAL · TB at DAL | RB | ReceptionsOVER | 2.5 | 3.8 | +10.2ppArchived P* hit 67.0% | DraftKings -129 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
23Javonte WilliamsDAL · TB at DAL | RB | Rush yardsUNDER | 73.5 | 68.7 | +9.6ppArchived P* hit 62.0% | DraftKings -110 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
24Ted Hurst IIITB · TB at DAL | WR | ReceptionsOVER | 1.5 | 2.7 | +9.3ppArchived P* hit 70.0% | DraftKings -152 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
25Jake FergusonDAL · TB at DAL | TE | ReceptionsUNDER | 3.5 | 3.2 | +8.2ppArchived P* hit 62.0% | DraftKings -117 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
26Jalon DanielsTB · TB at DAL | QB | Pass TDsOVER | 0.5 | 1.5 | +6.2ppArchived P* hit 77.0% | DraftKings -239 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
27Kenny GainwellTB · TB at DAL | RB | ReceptionsOVER | 1.5 | 2.5 | +3.4ppArchived P* hit 66.0% | DraftKings -165 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
28Dak PrescottDAL · TB at DAL | QB | Pass yardsOVER | 265.5 | 277.5 | +3.3ppArchived P* hit 56.0% | DraftKings -111 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
29Ryan FlournoyDAL · TB at DAL | WR | ReceptionsOVER | 3.5 | 3.7 | +3.1ppArchived P* hit 48.0% | DraftKings +125 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
30Ryan FlournoyDAL · TB at DAL | WR | Rec yardsUNDER | 31.5 | 32.5 | +2.7ppArchived P* hit 55.0% | DraftKings -109 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
31Dak PrescottDAL · TB at DAL | QB | Pass TDsUNDER | 1.5 | 2 | +2.2ppArchived P* hit 39.0% | DraftKings +169 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
32Tez JohnsonTB · TB at DAL | WR | ReceptionsOVER | 1.5 | 1.5 | +0.5ppArchived P* hit 44.0% | DraftKings +132 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
33George PickensDAL · TB at DAL | WR | ReceptionsUNDER | 4.5 | 4.8 | -1.0ppArchived P* hit 52.0% | DraftKings -113 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
34Kenny GainwellTB · TB at DAL | RB | Rush yardsUNDER | 11.5 | 12.4 | -1.8ppArchived P* hit 51.0% | DraftKings -111 | — | Awaiting statAligned archived quote | |
| Sean TuckerTB | RB | Rush yards | Unavailable | 5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyApproved later game sheet |
| Kameron JohnsonTB | WR | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.6 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyApproved later game sheet |
| Kameron JohnsonTB | WR | Rec yards | Unavailable | 5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyApproved later game sheet |
| Tyler GoodsonDAL | RB | Rec yards | Unavailable | 3 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyApproved later game sheet |
| Emari DemercadoDAL | RB | Rush yards | Unavailable | 5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyApproved later game sheet |
| KaVontae TurpinDAL | WR | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyApproved later game sheet |
| KaVontae TurpinDAL | WR | Rec yards | Unavailable | 5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyApproved later game sheet |
| Jonathan MingoDAL | WR | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyApproved later game sheet |
| Jonathan MingoDAL | WR | Rec yards | Unavailable | 5 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyApproved later game sheet |
| Brevyn Spann-FordDAL | TE | Receptions | Unavailable | 0.7 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyApproved later game sheet |
| Brevyn Spann-FordDAL | TE | Rec yards | Unavailable | 8 | Unavailable | Unavailable | — | — | Projection onlyApproved later game sheet |
* P and edge are uncalibrated estimates. The new overlay uses the frozen player means and documented distribution assumptions; edge is the probability difference from the captured American odds, in percentage points. Starter scenarios remain excluded from weekly rankings. Started games retain archived probabilities. Historical proxy values remain available for comparison. Unavailable fields have no supporting frozen source. Black tick = line; ice-blue diamond = GameDay Projection; gold dot = actual.
Data coverage · 11 projection entries without quotes · 5 ATD players without odds
Coverage is based on captured DraftKings and FanDuel snapshots. An uncaptured market does not establish that a sportsbook offers it. Missing quotes remain unavailable.
0 archived prop rows have conflicting or unmatched quote projections. GameDay Projection uses the approved baseline where available; archived values remain visible for comparison and their original proxy edges are excluded from weekly rankings. A separate overlay may evaluate the same captured quote against the verified frozen mean.
32 eligible positive-edge prop signals. The weekly board defaults to Top 100, with an All positive edges option. Washington and Baltimore offensive starter scenarios remain excluded.
Frozen data and source game sheet
Open Tampa - Dallas Week 5 Game Sheet.pdf
Approved preliminary locked-engine sheet. October 7, 2026 · 12:38 ET (props); October 7 early snapshot (ATD).
Linked report fingerprint: Fingerprint reconciled to linked PDF. The old metadata fingerprint was stale; the linked report and model values are preserved.
Most matchups use the archived early-signal player baseline; Tampa–Dallas preserves its later approved sheet. ATD probabilities use the locked v2R production board. Additional DK/FD prices come from the archived October 7 full market overlay; existing prices take priority and the prediction baseline remains unchanged. Previously missing market sides and ATD book prices are supplemented from the Edge Labs October 8, 2026, 12:38 PM ET capture, a third-party published snapshot rather than a live sportsbook feed. Traditional prop probabilities and edges for unplayed games now come from a separate timestamped provisional overlay using the verified frozen means and documented distribution assumptions. Original quote probabilities and edges remain available as archive comparisons. Starter scenarios are excluded from weekly rankings. Quote-model mismatches remain labeled; their original proxy edges are not used in weekly rankings.