GameDay Model
From the game outlook to player projections—and from kickoff to the final review.
GameDay Analytics Lab brings game context, player opportunity, and matchup analysis into a consistent weekly process. Our goal is to give you a clear pregame outlook, then measure how it performs on the field.
HOW IT WORKS
Our process
Set the game environment
We review historical performance, recent trends, matchups, and weather to build an outlook for each game: projected scoring, pace, and likely game flow.
Project player performance
We use those game environments to simulate player performance, taking expected roles, opportunities, and matchups into account. The results inform player projections, prop outlooks, and touchdown outlooks.
Review and lock projections
We check injuries and player availability before kickoff, review late updates, and finalize each game’s projections. Once the game begins, those projections stay fixed for evaluation.
Track and learn
We follow game progress and compare final results with the pregame outlook. Postgame reviews help us evaluate accuracy and improve future weeks without rewriting past predictions.
THE WEEKLY ROUTINE
Our weekly schedule
- Tuesday night
Game environments
Create game environments and projected scores.
- Wednesday
Player projections
Generate player projections, props, and touchdown outlooks.
- Before Thursday kickoff
Thursday final check
Check injuries and finalize Thursday’s projections.
- Friday night
Injury audit
Audit injuries and player availability.
- Before remaining kickoffs
Final review
Review late updates and lock each game’s projections.
- After games conclude
Results review
Audit results and review model performance.